So....

[Riley Smith]

The weather lizards are prognosticating some tropical development MAY occur later in June according to one of the computer models. DUH! It's called HURRICANE SEASON for a reason. At the moment, there is an intrusion of Sahara dust due to arrive, and that tends to keep tropical development chances lower. Maybe it came at the right time because we spotted a weather balloon heading almost due east. Like a snail. What that means is there isn't (as) much wind up there at 80,000 ft. Unless it was one of those high-tech Chinese balloons that can hover. Not much wind up that high does not bode well for said forecast. It gives things time to stew up. But I believe that most of it is fearmongering and getting people normalized into listening to the tropical weather. You believe what you want and we'll compare at the end of June  .

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[Riley Smith]

Forgot to insert. How does one fix that?

[Doug SC]

I think you click on more and then modify and save.

[Riley Smith]

Thanks Doug! Worked like a champ!

[Riley Smith]

And despite the blob in Texas, the weather here has become more tropical. The SW wind we've been having has today shifted to the SE, blowing out of the tropics and with better weather. It's a pretty subtle feeling, other than the wind direction, but it's there. Shelby (PIL) used to say a SW wind wasn't good for anything and I've come to agree with him over the years. I look at the satellites every day and study. There are different layers and different effects they have over the whole scenario. Sw sucks. It's hot and muggy, and always the chance of severe weather with it. It's hot and muggy with a SE wind too, but somehow different. And not nearly as much chance of getting fried by lightning.

I don't do much boating this time of the year. It's just too hot and I'm old and love air conditioning. If you can catch a late wind, it's pretty nice. And can be awesome in the right circumstances. Usually that's what I shoot for if I do get a time slot. And I prefer weekdays too, because of the weekend warriors. July is coming and we always have a pool party on the 4th. Whatever you do for recreation in the 'Sip, it's best if you can stay wet. Sweating like a pig lost its appeal a long time ago 

[Riley Smith]

And to complicate my life, the Mobile radar is not showing on Radar Monster. Previously the New Orleans radar on that site went away too, so my two favorite weather radars are unavailable. I use them to peer out into the water because the My Radar app will give false information at a range of maybe 100 miles out. Far enough it isn't a problem under normal weather. Needed if there is a hurricane headed our way. Guess I'll have to do some research. Radar Monster uses the old NOAA data and was still available, even though they had changed to some other format.

[Frank B.]

Random thoughts.  The weather forecasters seem to OVER forecast a lot in every category.  Seems like with regard to hurricanes they excel in the genre, over forecasting the number of named storms, those that make landfall, the intensity thereof.  About twenty percent of the time they're right and that sounds like a great gig to me.

With regard to my local weather in the northern most corner of the Sip, it is my fault and I take full responsibility and apologize to the innocents that are affected by my folly. By now we should be anticipating the Bermuda high that brings the summer drought.  But oh no, I, anticipating that, embarked on a construction project that includes excavation, concrete work, retaining walls, new gutter and downspout system, underground drainage piping, above ground drainage swales and berms and a patio cover so I can cook outside without worry about the rain.  As you might conclude, the central theme of this project is the managing of water.

The reality is that it has rained almost every day of the last thirty while construction has progressed with the same pattern for the ten day forecast future. It is the type of construction that makes the water problem much worse before the completion will make it much better.  So I've spent a lot of time manning the pumps and sandbagging the back door to keep from flooding the house. 

And I also do not sail in the summer, it is normally too hot, often without wind, and very crowded with all manner of powered recreation vessels. I wait until fall, when school, college football, and hunting season drive all from the lake. However, this year I would not have time anyway who would be manning the pumps and sandbags.

A pic of a little bit of the project, it is much more comprehensive than what you can see. If you scroll down the pic will show the riverbed currently without flow but sink to your ankles if you step off the stones.

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[Riley Smith]

So you're the one! Yeah, digging foundations and messing around with dirt will bring the deluges every time! Good luck on the project. I'm sitting looking at the rising sun and wondering how hot it will get TODAY. Yesterday started fine as it usually does. There won't be a cloud in the sky at 6am but by 10 am you're wondering where the sun went. Storms threw high clouds up yesterday afternoon and it remained cooler than normal, although the rain probably helped too. I'm more or less turning nocturnal as is my natural inclination every hot season. Happy Fathers Day to all. My undergarments have been refreshed and I'm ready for another year.

[Norm L.]

Riley and Frank, I read your reports. The part to which I can agree is rain. But...

Once it was one or two 10-to-15-minute rains in the afternoon. Twenty-three hours dry (but very moisture of course). Now we have had days, sun and clouds, sun and rain, a spring look here, except for the temperature not of a decent June but more 85-95.
It has been the thunderstorms so much more common in the last weeks through of rain to start anytime off and on.
And for too many has been some very small but heavy rains that have been fatal to an unusual number.

It is a hope that there will be better weather for the sailors, without such whips of rain and high winds.     

[Riley Smith]

Sitting here contemplating about it Norm, and I'm not getting out when it is developing so fast. We're on the rim  of a high pressure and there are some serious winds up high, so I'm paying attention. I have considered an evening trip, because sometimes it is SO nice if the storms have cooled everything off. And there is still some wind. Except that yesterday, the storms came right at dark instead of the normal 2pm. It would have been a SS.

[Doug SC]

The high-pressure dome is easing away from us here and temps dropping from the high 90s and 100 to the low 90s. We had rain most of the night with some severe thunderstorms. Minus the winds from the storms, it has been very light wind. Terrible sailing weather the last couple of weeks.

[Riley Smith]

Ditto. Things have been all askew. Storms moving out now and the temp is heading up again. Yo-yo doesn't even describe it. I did a little kayak time retrieving a lure. I don't like the little green kayak but there is another, bigger one I haven't tried. No way I'd try to fish from the green one but the other holds promises. There are OTHER lights to fish than I normally do. It was early, near dawn, so no chance of a heat stroke. The water is still brown. It's not time yet.